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Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade

The group integrates the research lines of macroeconomic analysis and international trade and seeks to analyze the behavior of the Uruguayan economy from these perspectives.

It studies the following national and regional economic problems using a macroeconomic approach: diagnosis and characterization and forecast of economic growth and its determinants, labor market, foreign trade, tourism, inflation, and competitiveness. More recently, the group has ventured into behavioral macroeconomics related to research on economic expectations, economic sentiment indicators, and uncertainty. Along these lines, the group has prepared periodic diagnoses of the current situation of the Uruguayan economy, analyzing the main trends, identifying their causal factors, and projecting their evolution in the short term.

Studies on the labor market from a macroeconomic perspective have centered on the study of the relationship between unemployment and economic activity, as well as its determinants and the generation of employment, from two perspectives: occupational quality and labor demand factors

International trade research focuses on the impact of international trade and foreign direct investment on company profits and the labor market. The impact of trade and foreign investment on firm productivity, the quality of imported and exported commodities from other nations, horizontal and vertical spillovers of multinational enterprises, and export promotion policies are just a few topics covered. In addition, it concentrates on the impacts of trade, outsourcing, technological progress and innovation on the workforce, along with the level and structure of wages.

Lines of Research:

Macroeconomic analysis and forecasting of the Uruguayan economy

Applications of behavioral economics for macroeconomic analysis and forecasting in Uruguay

International trade and Foreign direct investment (FDI)

The labor market from a macroeconomic perspective

Brazil: economics and politics

Trade: impact on productivity and employment at the company level

Members

  • Alejo Estavillo
  • Bibiana Lanzilotta
  • Gabriela Mordecki
  • Leonel Muinelo-Gallo
  • Adriana Peluffo
  • Sylvina Porras (coordinator)
  • Joaquín Torres
  • Publications (link)

    Recent projects and publications

Industrial export promotion regimes in Uruguay

  • Status: Activo
  • Members of the IECON: Peluffo, Adriana - Mordecki, Gabriela - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Suárez, Mauricio - Torres, Joaquín

Expectations and economic sentiment indicators: a study of the Uruguayan case

  • Status: Activo
  • Members of the IECON: Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Mordecki, Gabriela - Torres, Joaquín - Umpierrez, Viviana

Brazil 200 years: Past, present and future

  • Status: Activo
  • Members of the IECON: Mordecki, Gabriela

DT 13-25 La política económica uruguaya en el período 2020-2025

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2025

Heterogeneityand Spatial Dependence in Okun's Law: A Global View.

  • Author(s): Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel - Martín-Román, Ángel L. - Porras, Sylvina
  • Journal: SSRN
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2025

Heterogeneity and spatial dependence in Okun's law: a global view

  • Author(s): Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel - Martín-Román, Ángel L. - Porras, Sylvina
  • Journal: Global Labor Organization (GLO)
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2025

DT 02-25 Nota Metodológica. Estimación del Capital Humano en Uruguay entre 1981-2023

  • Author(s): Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Miranda, Ronald - Torres, Joaquín
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2025

Tourism and CO 2 emissions in Latin American countries: evidence from a CS-ARDL panel model

  • Author(s): Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Olivera, Martín
  • Journal: SSRN
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2025

Human development and inequalities: The importance of social public spending

  • Journal: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2024

Impacts of the CPTPP and the accession of new members China and Uruguay: application of a structural dynamic gravity model of trade.

  • Author(s): Moncarz, Pedro - Rovira, Flavia - Vaillant, Marcel - Villano, Sebastián
  • Journal: Pharos
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2024

DT 12 - 24 Comparative Perspectives on Trade Cost Geography: Latin American Insights

  • Author(s): Villano, Sebastián
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2024

Development Outcomes: The Importance of Fiscal Decentralization and Good Governance

  • Author(s): Muinelo, Leonel - Miranda, Ronald - Olivera, Martín
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2024
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Lauro Müller 1921 entre Eduardo Acevedo y Jackson.

Montevideo, Uruguay

Phone (598) 2413 1007

iecon@fcea.edu.uy

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© 2022 - IECON - Instituto de Economía - All rights reserved.
  • Home
  • About
    • Organization and objectives
    • History
    • Seminars
    • IECON Library
  • Members
    • Faculty
    • Secretary and Library
  • Research groups
    • Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
    • Development
    • Inequality and Poverty
    • Labor Economics
    • Ethics, Justice and Economy
    • Economic history
    • Gender, Economy and Public Policies
    • Other research lines
      • Political Economy and Fiscal Policy
      • Agricultural, Environmental, and Natural Resources Economics
  • Publications
    • IECON Production
      • Short Run Economic Situation Documents
      • Student Research Documents
      • Working papers
    • Books
      • Book chapters
      • Complete works
    • Peer-reviewed publications
    • Databases
    • IECON 70 years
  • Projects
  • Diffusion
    • IECON in the media
    • Economics Department Blog
    • Events