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Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade

The group integrates the research lines of macroeconomic analysis and international trade and seeks to analyze the behavior of the Uruguayan economy from these perspectives.

It studies the following national and regional economic problems using a macroeconomic approach: diagnosis and characterization and forecast of economic growth and its determinants, labor market, foreign trade, tourism, inflation, and competitiveness. More recently, the group has ventured into behavioral macroeconomics related to research on economic expectations, economic sentiment indicators, and uncertainty. Along these lines, the group has prepared periodic diagnoses of the current situation of the Uruguayan economy, analyzing the main trends, identifying their causal factors, and projecting their evolution in the short term.

Studies on the labor market from a macroeconomic perspective have centered on the study of the relationship between unemployment and economic activity, as well as its determinants and the generation of employment, from two perspectives: occupational quality and labor demand factors

International trade research focuses on the impact of international trade and foreign direct investment on company profits and the labor market. The impact of trade and foreign investment on firm productivity, the quality of imported and exported commodities from other nations, horizontal and vertical spillovers of multinational enterprises, and export promotion policies are just a few topics covered. In addition, it concentrates on the impacts of trade, outsourcing, technological progress and innovation on the workforce, along with the level and structure of wages.

Lines of Research:

Macroeconomic analysis and forecasting of the Uruguayan economy

Applications of behavioral economics for macroeconomic analysis and forecasting in Uruguay

International trade and Foreign direct investment (FDI)

The labor market from a macroeconomic perspective

Brazil: economics and politics

Trade: impact on productivity and employment at the company level

Members

  • Alejo Estavillo
  • Bibiana Lanzilotta
  • Gabriela Mordecki
  • Leonel Muinelo-Gallo
  • Adriana Peluffo
  • Sylvina Porras (coordinator)
  • Joaquín Torres
  • Publications (link)

    Recent projects and publications

On the empirical relations between producers expectations and economic growth

  • Author(s): Brida, Juan Gabriel - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Rosich, Lucía
  • Journal: Economics Bulletin
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

Informe de coyuntura - Diciembre/Mayo 2021

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

El impacto de la incertidumbre del tipo de cambio sobre las exportaciones: un análisis de panel VAR

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela - Muinelo, Leonel - Miranda, Ronald
  • Journal: Estudios de Economía
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

Testing the Dynamic Relationship Among CO2 Emissions, Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and Tourism Development. Evidence for Uruguay

  • Author(s): Brida, Juan Gabriel - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Pizzolón, Fiorella
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

Informe de coyuntura - Junio/Noviembre 2020

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

A Multivariate Prediction Copula Model to Characterize the Expenditure Categories in Tourism

  • Author(s): Brida, Juan Gabriel - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Moreno, Leonardo - Santiñaque, Florencia
  • Journal: Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

DT 17/20 - Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay through VAR modeling

  • Author(s): Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Merlo, Gabriel - Mordecki, Gabriela - Umpierrez, Viviana
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

New stuff or better ways: what matters to access international markets?

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana - Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada - Silva, Ernesto
  • Journal: Journal of Applied Economics
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

DT 13/20 - Does Innovation Affect the Demand for Employment and Skilled Labor?

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

DT 10/20 - Relación entre las características de los mercados de trabajo latinoamericanos y la ley de Okun

  • Author(s): Porras, Sylvina - Martín-Román, Ángel L.
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

Informe de coyuntura - Enero/Mayo 2020

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020

DT 08/20 - China US Trade War: Will it impact on Latin American Countries?

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2020
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Lauro Müller 1921 entre Eduardo Acevedo y Jackson.

Montevideo, Uruguay

Phone (598) 2413 1007

iecon@fcea.edu.uy

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© 2022 - IECON - Instituto de Economía - All rights reserved.
  • Home
  • About
    • Organization and objectives
    • History
    • Seminars
    • IECON Library
  • Members
    • Faculty
    • Secretary and Library
  • Research groups
    • Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
    • Development
    • Inequality and Poverty
    • Labor Economics
    • Ethics, Justice and Economy
    • Economic history
    • Gender, Economy and Public Policies
    • Other research lines
      • Political Economy and Fiscal Policy
      • Agricultural, Environmental, and Natural Resources Economics
  • Publications
    • IECON Production
      • Short Run Economic Situation Documents
      • Student Research Documents
      • Working papers
    • Books
      • Book chapters
      • Complete works
    • Peer-reviewed publications
    • Databases
    • IECON 70 years
  • Projects
  • Diffusion
    • IECON in the media
    • Economics Department Blog
    • Events