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Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade

The group integrates the research lines of macroeconomic analysis and international trade and seeks to analyze the behavior of the Uruguayan economy from these perspectives.

It studies the following national and regional economic problems using a macroeconomic approach: diagnosis and characterization and forecast of economic growth and its determinants, labor market, foreign trade, tourism, inflation, and competitiveness. More recently, the group has ventured into behavioral macroeconomics related to research on economic expectations, economic sentiment indicators, and uncertainty. Along these lines, the group has prepared periodic diagnoses of the current situation of the Uruguayan economy, analyzing the main trends, identifying their causal factors, and projecting their evolution in the short term.

Studies on the labor market from a macroeconomic perspective have centered on the study of the relationship between unemployment and economic activity, as well as its determinants and the generation of employment, from two perspectives: occupational quality and labor demand factors

International trade research focuses on the impact of international trade and foreign direct investment on company profits and the labor market. The impact of trade and foreign investment on firm productivity, the quality of imported and exported commodities from other nations, horizontal and vertical spillovers of multinational enterprises, and export promotion policies are just a few topics covered. In addition, it concentrates on the impacts of trade, outsourcing, technological progress and innovation on the workforce, along with the level and structure of wages.

Lines of Research:

Macroeconomic analysis and forecasting of the Uruguayan economy

Applications of behavioral economics for macroeconomic analysis and forecasting in Uruguay

International trade and Foreign direct investment (FDI)

The labor market from a macroeconomic perspective

Brazil: economics and politics

Trade: impact on productivity and employment at the company level

Members

  • Alejo Estavillo
  • Bibiana Lanzilotta
  • Gabriela Mordecki
  • Leonel Muinelo-Gallo
  • Adriana Peluffo
  • Sylvina Porras (coordinator)
  • Joaquín Torres
  • Publications (link)

    Recent projects and publications

The heterogeneity of Okun’s law: A metaregression analysis

  • Author(s): Porras, Sylvina - Martín-Román, Ángel L.
  • Journal: Munich Personal RePEc Archive
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

On the dynamics of expectations, uncertainty and economic growth: an empirical analysis for the case of Uruguay

  • Author(s): Brida, Juan Gabriel - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Rosich, Lucía
  • Journal: International Journal of Emerging Markets
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

Calidad de gobierno como motor de atracción de la inversión extranjera directa en los países de América Latina y OECD

  • Author(s): Miranda, Ronald - Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Leira, Eugenia
  • Journal: Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad
  • Research group: Political Economy and Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

DT 14/22 - Offshoring and its impact on employment

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

Informe de coyuntura - Enero/Junio 2022

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

Compositional tourists’ expenditure: Modeling through Dirichlet regression

  • Author(s): Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Brida, Juan Gabriel - Moreno, Leonardo
  • Journal: Tourism Economics
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

DT 11/22 - Inversión extranjera directa y calidad del gobierno: Evidencia para los países de América Latina y la OECD

  • Author(s): Lanzilotta, Bibiana - Leira, Eugenia - Miranda, Ronald
  • Research group: Political Economy and Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2022

The Trade War Between China and the United States and Its Impact on Latin America.

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana - Villano, Sebastián
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

Trade costs and integration in Latin America in the last two decades

  • Author(s): Moncarz, Pedro - Flores, Manuel - Vaillant, Marcel - Villano, Sebastián
  • Journal: CAF report
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

DT 30/21 - What's behind Okun's law? A multiple equation approach to the Uruguayan labour market

  • Author(s): Porras, Sylvina - Suárez, Mauricio
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

Informe de coyuntura - Junio/Octubre 2021

  • Author(s): Mordecki, Gabriela
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021

The Impact of Export Destination on Skills in a Middle-Income Country

  • Author(s): Peluffo, Adriana
  • Journal: Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies
  • Research group: Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
  • Year: 2021
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Lauro Müller 1921 entre Eduardo Acevedo y Jackson.

Montevideo, Uruguay

Phone (598) 2413 1007

iecon@fcea.edu.uy

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© 2022 - IECON - Instituto de Economía - All rights reserved.
  • Home
  • About
    • Organization and objectives
    • History
    • Seminars
    • IECON Library
  • Members
    • Faculty
    • Secretary and Library
  • Research groups
    • Macroeconomic Analysis and Trade
    • Development
    • Inequality and Poverty
    • Labor Economics
    • Ethics, Justice and Economy
    • Economic history
    • Gender, Economy and Public Policies
    • Other research lines
      • Political Economy and Fiscal Policy
      • Agricultural, Environmental, and Natural Resources Economics
  • Publications
    • IECON Production
      • Short Run Economic Situation Documents
      • Student Research Documents
      • Working papers
    • Books
      • Book chapters
      • Complete works
    • Peer-reviewed publications
    • Databases
    • IECON 70 years
  • Projects
  • Diffusion
    • IECON in the media
    • Economics Department Blog
    • Events