DT 02 - 24 Industrial Policy and Trade Promotion in Uruguay: What are the Effects?

Exporting plays a central role in economic growth, especially in small economies. In this work we analyze an industrial policy aimed at fostering exports: the Temporary Admission Regime (TA). To this aim we use a panel of Uruguayan firms for the period 2005-2016. We use two evaluation techniques: binary treatment effects on matched firms and continuous treatment effects. These techniques allow controlling for selectivity into the treatment and selection bias. We find positive effects of Temporary Admission on trade performance, and particularly on export performance, while there are no clear effects on the firm’s total factor productivity and employment.

Keywords: industrial policy, temporary admission, export performance, productivity, causal effect.